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  • A multi-objective GRASP procedure for reactive power compensation planning
    Publication . Antunes, Carlos Henggeler; Oliveira, Eunice; Lima, Paulo
    A multi-objective approach based on the GRASP (Greedy Randomized Adaptive Search Procedure) meta-heuristic is proposed to provide decision support in the problem of locating and sizing capacitors for reactive power compensation in electrical radial distribution networks. The installation of capacitors (local sources of reactive power) in the network is aimed at correcting the power factor to improve the quality of service, particularly the network voltage profile, and reduce energy losses and power peak. The mathematical model explicitly considers two conflicting objective functions: the minimization of the network active losses and the minimization of the capacitor installation cost. An algorithmic approach based on GRASP is presented for the characterization of the non-dominated solution set.
  • A Ubiquitous and Low-Cost Solution for Movement Monitoring and Accident Detection Based on Sensor Fusion
    Publication . Felisberto, Filipe; Fdez.-Riverola, Florentino; Pereira, António
    The low average birth rate in developed countries and the increase in life expectancy have lead society to face for the first time an ageing situation. This situation associated with the World’s economic crisis (which started in 2008) forces the need of equating better and more efficient ways of providing more quality of life for the elderly. In this context, the solution presented in this work proposes to tackle the problem of monitoring the elderly in a way that is not restrictive for the life of the monitored, avoiding the need for premature nursing home admissions. To this end, the system uses the fusion of sensory data provided by a network of wireless sensors placed on the periphery of the user. Our approach was also designed with a low-cost deployment in mind, so that the target group may be as wide as possible. Regarding the detection of long-term problems, the tests conducted showed that the precision of the system in identifying and discerning body postures and body movements allows for a valid monitorization and rehabilitation of the user. Moreover, concerning the detection of accidents, while the proposed solution presented a near 100% precision at detecting normal falls, the detection of more complex falls (i.e., hampered falls) will require further study.
  • Methodology to simulate the impact of a large deployment of a residential energy management system in the electricity grid
    Publication . Miguel, Pedro; Neves, Luís; Martins, A. Gomes
    The purpose of this work is to provide an insight for a possible methodology to implement demand response strategies at a city scale. The objective is to determine a range of values for the energy and power that can be made available through the large deployment of a residential energy management system. This work can help the distribution system operator to assess the impact of the usage of such technology at the grid level. The paper describes a methodology that identifies the start of operation cycles of appliances and other loads on a given general load diagram, enabling the simulation of load shifting caused by the operation of residential energy management systems. A simulation of an hypothetical 20% deployment of a residential energy management system on the city of Coimbra in Portugal, was performed. The results show the release of almost 3% of the demand on periods of higher price, but also the occurrence of a pronounced peak during the night period, an occurrence which may need to be dealt with, and for which some solutions are proposed.
  • A stochastic approach to optimize Maritime pine (Pinus pinaster Ait.) stand management scheduling under fire risk. An application in Portugal
    Publication . Ferreira, L.; Constantino, M.; Borges, J. G.
    The paper discusses research aiming at the development of a management scheduling model for even-aged stands that may take into consideration fuel treatments to address the risk of wildfires. A Stochastic dynamic programming (SDP) approach is proposed to determine the policy (e.g. the fuel treatment and thinning schedules and the rotation age) that produces the maximum expected discounted net revenue. Fuel treatment activities encompass shrub cleanings. Emphasis was on combining a deterministic stand-level growth and yield model with wildfire occurrence and damage models to design a SDP network. SDP stages are defined by age and state variables include both the stand basal area and the number of years since the last fuel treatment. Fire occurrence and damage scenarios are addressed at each stage. Results from an application to Maritime pine (Pinus pinaster Ait.) stand management scheduling in Leiria National Forest, Portugal, are presented. Results suggest that the modeling strategy may help assess the impact of wildfire risk on the optimal stand management schedule. They confirm that the maximum expected discounted net revenues decreases. Further, albeit some timber may be salvaged after the wildfire, rotation age also decreases when the risk of fire is considered. Finally, they provide interesting insights about the role of thinning and fuel treatment policies in mitigating risk.
  • Decision Support System to Diagnosis and Classification of Epilepsy in Children
    Publication . Rijo, Rui; Silva, Catarina; Pereira, Luis; Gonçalves, Dulce; Agostinho, Margarida
    Clinical decision support systems play an important role in organizations. They have a tight relation with the information systems. Our goal is to develop a system to support the diagnosis and the classification of epilepsy in children. Around 50 million people in the world have epilepsy. Epilepsy diagnosis can be an extremely complex process, demanding considerable time and effort from physicians and healthcare infrastructures. Exams such as electroencephalograms and magnetic resonances are often used to create a more accurate diagnosis in a short amount of time. After the diagnosis process, physicians classify epilepsy according to the International Classification of Diseases, ninth revision (ICD-9). Physicians need to classify each specific type of epilepsy based on different data, e.g., types of seizures, events and exams' results. The classification process is time consuming and, in some cases, demands for complementary exams. This work presents a text mining approach to support medical decisions relating to epilepsy diagnosis and ICD-9-based classification in children. We put forward a text mining approach using electronically processed medical records, and apply the K-Nearest Neighbor technique as a white-box multiclass classifier approach to classify each instance, mapping it to the corresponding ICD-9-based standard code. Results on real medical records suggest that the proposed framework shows good performance and clear interpretations, albeit the reduced volume of available training data. To overcome this hurdle, in this work we also propose and explore ways of expanding the dataset.
  • A simple heuristic for the identification of the case ID attribute in unlabelled process mining event logs
    Publication . Vicente, André; Grilo, Carlos; Rijo, Rui; Martinho, Ricardo
    This study addresses the critical challenge of identifying and labelling the case ID attribute in unlabelled event logs, a fundamental task in process mining. Case IDs uniquely associate events with individual process instances, enabling accurate analysis and discovery of operational insights. Manual identification of case IDs is error-prone and labour-intensive, often hindering the scalability and reliability of process mining analyses. This paper introduces a novel heuristic method that automates case ID identification, improving efficiency and accuracy for diverse real-world datasets. The proposed heuristic leverages unique temporal patterns observed in event logs to distinguish case ID attributes from other attributes. It calculates a weighted average of temporal spans and applies customisable parameters to prioritise relevant attributes. The method was validated using 27 datasets from the Business Process Intelligence (BPI) Challenge, representing a variety of industries and event log complexities. Performance metrics, including success rates and computational efficiency, were benchmarked against existing approaches. The heuristic achieved an 85.2% top-1 success rate, and remains effective provided at least one repeating categorical attribute is present - a condition met by virtually all publicly available business and industrial logs. It consistently ranked case IDs among the top attributes even in challenging scenarios, such as cyclic processes and multi-correlated data. The method demonstrated robustness across diverse datasets, processing large event logs within seconds, highlighting its practicality for real-world applications. This research contributes an innovative and explainable approach to case ID identification that requires only raw event logs, contrasting with existing methods reliant on pre-labelled data or complex pipelines. Its simplicity, efficiency, and adaptability to various process types make it a valuable tool for advancing process mining capabilities.
  • Managing Data in Screening Programs: Challenges and Solutions
    Publication . Monteiro, Hugo; Oliveira, Mariana; Martinho, Ricardo; Martins, Carlos
    Population-based screening programs are vital public health initiatives that enable the early detection of diseases, significantly reducing both morbidity and healthcare costs. As these programs expand, the management of the extensive data they generate becomes increasingly complex, highlighting the need for structured digital solutions. This narrative review article presents a pragmatic framework aimed at clarifying big data analytics tailored to the needs and practices of healthcare professionals and administrators, focusing on effective integration into routine screening workflows. To achieve effective data utilization, the process begins with systematic archiving, which involves cloud-based storage solutions capable of securely maintaining various data formats in compliance with regulatory standards, thus ensuring long-term accessibility and continuity. Subsequent real-time processing of screening data facilitates rapid decision-making and patient management by providing immediate validation and analysis, essential for maintaining the responsiveness of screening services. Transformation processes play a critical role in converting diverse data inputs into standardized, consistent formats, enabling seamless communication and exchange among multiple healthcare systems. Integration further builds upon this standardization, merging data from different healthcare providers and diagnostic centers into centralized analytical platforms. This unified approach enables comprehensive patient monitoring and supports predictive modeling for early identification of at-risk individuals. Advanced analytics, particularly process mining and predictive techniques, reveal inefficiencies within screening workflows, highlighting areas needing improvement. These methods help healthcare managers to streamline operations, optimize resources, and enhance overall program performance. Real-time visualization tools provide administrators with continuous, practical insights into operational dynamics, despite existing challenges related to data governance and system interoperability. This article illustrates these concepts through concrete examples from the colorectal cancer screening program in Northern Portugal and the response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The colorectal cancer screening scenario demonstrates how structured data management significantly boosts operational efficiency and healthcare accessibility. Meanwhile, the COVID-19 experience highlights the importance of having flexible digital infrastructures capable of quickly adapting to unexpected crises. Finally, ongoing investments in digital infrastructure, professional training, and comprehensive data governance are crucial for sustaining these improvements. This review provides clear, actionable knowledge to support healthcare professionals in adopting big data analytics effectively within preventive healthcare programs.
  • A Data-Driven Approach to Forecasting Heating and Cooling Energy Demand in an Office Building as an Alternative to Multi-Zone Dynamic Simulation
    Publication . Godinho, Xavier; Bernardo, Hermano; Sousa, João C. de; Oliveira, Filipe T.
    Nowadays, as more data is now available from an increasing number of installed sensors, load forecasting applied to buildings is being increasingly explored. The amount and quality of resulting information can provide inputs for smarter decisions when managing and operating office buildings. In this article, the authors use two data-driven methods (artificial neural networks and support vector machines) to predict the heating and cooling energy demand in an office building located in Lisbon, Portugal. In the present case-study, these methods prove to be an accurate and appealing alternative to the use of accurate but time-consuming multi-zone dynamic simulation tools, which strongly depend on several parameters to be inserted and user expertise to calibrate the model. Artificial neural networks and support vector machines were developed and parametrized using historical data and different sets of exogenous variables to encounter the best performance combinations for both the heating and cooling periods of a year. In the case of support vector regression, a variation introduced simulated annealing to guide the search for different combinations of hyperparameters. After a feature selection stage for each individual method, the results for the different methods were compared, based on error metrics and distributions. The outputs of the study include the most suitable methodology for each season, and also the features (historical load records, but also exogenous features such as outdoor temperature, relative humidity or occupancy profile) that led to the most accurate models. Results clearly show there is a potential for faster, yet accurate machine-learning based forecasting methods to replace well-established, very accurate but time-consuming multi-zone dynamic simulation tools to forecast building energy consumption.
  • Heating and Cooling Degree-Days Climate Change Projections for Portugal
    Publication . Andrade, Cristina; Mourato, Sandra; Ramos, João
    Climate change is expected to influence cooling and heating energy demand of residential buildings and affect overall thermal comfort. Towards this end, the heating (HDD) and cooling (CDD) degree-days along with HDD + CDD were computed from an ensemble of seven high-resolution bias-corrected simulations attained from EURO-CORDEX under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). These three indicators were analyzed for 1971-2000 (from E-OBS) and 2011-2040, and 2041-2070, under both RCPs. Results predict a decrease in HDDs most significant under RCP8.5. Conversely, it is projected an increase of CDD values for both scenarios. The decrease in HDDs is projected to be higher than the increase in CDDs hinting to an increase in the energy demand to cool internal environments in Portugal. Statistically significant linear CDD trends were only found for 2041-2070 under RCP4.5. Towards 2070, higher(lower) CDD (HDD and HDD + CDD) anomaly amplitudes are depicted, mainly under RCP8.5. Within the five NUTS II regions projections revealed for 2041-2070 a decrease in heating requirements for Algarve and Lisbon Area higher in Faro, Lisboa and Setúbal whereas for North and Center regions results predicts an increase in cooling energy demand mainly in Bragança, Vila Real, Braga, Viana do Castelo, Porto and Guarda, higher under RCP8.5.
  • A finite element model of an induction motor considering rotor skew and harmonics
    Publication . Oliveira, F. T.; Donsión, M. P.
    Finite element analysis is widely used in engineering, and has for some time been used in modelling the behaviour of an induction motor. Limitations and challenges of this approach will be addressed over a case-study commercial 0,37 kW, 4-pole squirrel-cage induction motor simulated using two-dimensional software FEMM. A few notes on the consideration of rotor skew and harmonic distortion in such a model are also included.