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Load Forecasting Benchmark for Smart Meter Data

dc.contributor.authorViana, João
dc.contributor.authorBessa, Ricardo J.
dc.contributor.authorSousa, João
dc.date.accessioned2026-03-06T14:18:11Z
dc.date.available2026-03-06T14:18:11Z
dc.date.issued2019-06
dc.description.abstractActual integration of high-tech devices brings opportunities for better monitoring, management and control of low voltage networks. In this new paradigm, efficient tools should cope with the great amount of dispersed and considerably distinct data to support smarter decisions in almost real time. Besides the use of tools to enable an optimal network reconfiguration and integration of dispersed and renewable generation, the impact evaluation of integrating storage systems, accurate load forecasting methods must be found even when applied to individual consumers (characterized by the high presence of noise in time series). As this effort becomes providential in the smart grids context, this article compares three different approaches: one based on Kernel Density Estimation, an alternative based on Artificial Neural Networks and a method using Support Vector Machines. The first two methods revealed unequivocal benefits when compared to a Naive method consisting of a simple reproduction of the last available day.eng
dc.description.sponsorshipThis work is financed by the ERDF – European Regional Development Fund through the Operational Programme for Competitiveness and Internationalisation - COMPETE 2020 Programme, and by National Funds through the Portuguese funding agency, FCT – Fundacao para a Ciencia e a Tecnologia, within project ESGRIDS – Desenvolvimento Sustentavel da Rede Eletrica Inteligente/SAICTPAC/0004/2015-POCI-01-0145-FEDER-016434.
dc.identifier.citationJ. Viana, R. J. Bessa and J. Sousa, "Load Forecasting Benchmark for Smart Meter Data," 2019 IEEE Milan PowerTech, Milan, Italy, 2019, pp. 1-6, doi: 10.1109/PTC.2019.8810781.
dc.identifier.doi10.1109/ptc.2019.8810781
dc.identifier.isbn978-1-5386-4723-3
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.8/15799
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherIEEE
dc.relation.hasversionhttps://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8810781
dc.relation.ispartof2019 IEEE Milan PowerTech
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectForecasting
dc.subjectlow voltage
dc.subjectsmart meter
dc.subjectdensity estimation
dc.subjectneural networks
dc.titleLoad Forecasting Benchmark for Smart Meter Dataeng
dc.typeconference paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.conferenceDate2019-06
oaire.citation.conferencePlaceMilan
oaire.citation.title2019 IEEE Milan PowerTech
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85

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