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No polarization–Expected Values of Climate Change Impacts among European Forest Professionals and Scientists

2020-03-27Journal article Open access
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datacite.subject.fosCiências Sociais::Geografia Económica e Social
datacite.subject.fosCiências Naturais::Ciências da Terra e do Ambiente
datacite.subject.fosCiências Naturais::Ciências da Computação e da Informação
datacite.subject.sdg07:Energias Renováveis e Acessíveis
datacite.subject.sdg09:Indústria, Inovação e Infraestruturas
datacite.subject.sdg11:Cidades e Comunidades Sustentáveis
dc.contributor.authorPersson, Johannes
dc.contributor.authorBlennow, Kristina
dc.contributor.authorGonçalves, Luisa
dc.contributor.authorBorys, Alexander
dc.contributor.authorDutcă, Ioan
dc.contributor.authorHynynen, Jari
dc.contributor.authorJaneczko, Emilia
dc.contributor.authorLyubenova, Mariyana
dc.contributor.authorMartel, Simon
dc.contributor.authorMerganic, Jan
dc.contributor.authorMerganičová, Katarína
dc.contributor.authorPeltoniemi, Mikko
dc.contributor.authorPetr, Michal
dc.contributor.authorReboredo, Fernando H.
dc.contributor.authorVacchiano, Giorgio
dc.contributor.authorReyer, Christopher P. O.
dc.date.accessioned2025-09-19T16:07:00Z
dc.date.available2025-09-19T16:07:00Z
dc.date.issued2020-03-27
dc.description.abstractThe role of values in climate-related decision-making is a prominent theme of climate communication research. The present study examines whether forest professionals are more driven by values than scientists are, and if this results in value polarization. A questionnaire was designed to elicit and assess the values assigned to expected effects of climate change by forest professionals and scientists working on forests and climate change in Europe. The countries involved covered a north-to-south and west-to-east gradient across Europe, representing a wide range of bio-climatic conditions and a mix of economic-social-political structures. We show that European forest professionals and scientists do not exhibit polarized expectations about the values of specific impacts of climate change on forests in their countries. In fact, few differences between forest professionals and scientists were found. However, there are interesting differences in the expected values of forest professionals with regard to climate change impacts across European countries. In Northern European countries, the aggregated values of the expected effects are more neutral than they are in Southern Europe, where they are more negative. Expectations about impacts on timber production, economic returns, and regulatory ecosystem services are mostly negative, while expectations about biodiversity and energy production are mostly positive.eng
dc.description.sponsorshipFunding: This paper is based upon work from COST Action FP1304 PROFOUND (Towards Robust Projections of European Forests under Climate Change), supported by the European Cooperation in Science and Technology (COST – http://www.cost.eu). The research was supported by the Swedish Foundation for Humanities and Social Sciences (grant number M14-0138:1) (to J.P.); The Swedish Research Council Formas (grant number 259-2008-1718) (to J.P.); Slovak Research and Development Agency, Projects No. APVV-0480–12 (to J.M. and K.M.), APVV-15-0265 (K.M.), APVV-15-0714 (J.M.); the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF, grant no. 01LS1201A1) (to C.P.O.R); and the German Federal Office for Agriculture and FOOD (BLE, grant no. 2816ERA06S) (to C.P.O.R). Acknowledgments: We are grateful to all respondents to the questionnaires for their valuable input. We thank colleagues for valuable and constructive comments on an early draft-especially Baruch Fischhoff, Astrid Kause, Paul Slovic, and Niklas Vareman-and Gail Atkinson for reviewing the English language of a draft survey.
dc.identifier.citationPersson, J., Blennow, K., Gonçalves, L., Borys, A., Dutcă, I., Hynynen, J., Janeczko, E., Lyubenova, M., Martel, S., Merganic, J., Merganičová, K., Peltoniemi, M., Petr, M., Reboredo, F. H., Vacchiano, G., & Reyer, C. P. O. (2020). No polarization–Expected Values of Climate Change Impacts among European Forest Professionals and Scientists. Sustainability, 12(7), 2659. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12072659.
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/su12072659
dc.identifier.eissn2071-1050
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.8/14099
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherMDPI
dc.relation.hasversionhttps://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/12/7/2659
dc.relation.ispartofSustainability
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectclimate change impacts
dc.subjectdecision-making
dc.subjectrisk perception
dc.subjecthomogeneity of expected values
dc.subjectvalue polarization
dc.subjectstrength of expected values
dc.titleNo polarization–Expected Values of Climate Change Impacts among European Forest Professionals and Scientistseng
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage12
oaire.citation.issue7
oaire.citation.startPage1
oaire.citation.titleSustainability
oaire.citation.volume12
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
person.familyNameGonçalves
person.givenNameLuisa
person.identifier.ciencia-id9116-82A0-3060
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-6265-8903
person.identifier.ridU-1298-2017
person.identifier.scopus-author-id35145815700
relation.isAuthorOfPublication1ba44699-bdda-4e01-97ec-c02fe603afc5
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery1ba44699-bdda-4e01-97ec-c02fe603afc5

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The role of values in climate-related decision-making is a prominent theme of climate communication research. The present study examines whether forest professionals are more driven by values than scientists are, and if this results in value polarization. A questionnaire was designed to elicit and assess the values assigned to expected effects of climate change by forest professionals and scientists working on forests and climate change in Europe. The countries involved covered a north-to-south and west-to-east gradient across Europe, representing a wide range of bio-climatic conditions and a mix of economic-social-political structures. We show that European forest professionals and scientists do not exhibit polarized expectations about the values of specific impacts of climate change on forests in their countries. In fact, few differences between forest professionals and scientists were found. However, there are interesting differences in the expected values of forest professionals with regard to climate change impacts across European countries. In Northern European countries, the aggregated values of the expected effects are more neutral than they are in Southern Europe, where they are more negative. Expectations about impacts on timber production, economic returns, and regulatory ecosystem services are mostly negative, while expectations about biodiversity and energy production are mostly positive.
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